Fuse

MidtermsExample

Will Pete Hegseth leave as Defense Secretary before February 2027?

64% chance of yes

Odds are for illustration86 days left

In the news

Democrats won the House and the Senate on Tuesday. From January they run the committees that can call the Pentagon's leaders in for questioning.

Read it on BBC News

How this would get decided

YES if Pete Hegseth stops being US Defense Secretary for any reason before the closing time. Otherwise NO.