Fuse

Midterms

Example markets

Will Pete Hegseth leave as Defense Secretary before February 2027?

64%chance

Yes 64%No 36%

Example86 days left

Will Congress vote to end the Iran war before April 2027?

31%chance

Yes 31%No 69%

Example145 days left

Will the House vote to impeach Trump before 2028?

38%chance

Yes 38%No 62%

Example420 days left